All markets
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?
82%chance
- Yes83.5%
Outcomes
- Yes82%
81.5¢ per share
- No19%
18.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 83.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 83¢ | 171.26 | $142.15 |
| 82¢ | 183.56 | $150.52 |
| 81¢ | 67.88 | $54.98 |
| 80¢ | 81 | $64.80 |
| 78¢ | 50 | $39.00 |
| 77¢ | 100 | $77.00 |
| 76¢ | 100 | $76.00 |
| 71¢ | 35 | $24.85 |
| 70¢ | 50 | $35.00 |
| 67¢ | 33.75 | $22.61 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 84¢ | 188 | $157.92 |
| 85¢ | 4,157.75 | $3,534.09 |
| 86¢ | 570 | $490.20 |
| 87¢ | 1,189.28 | $1,034.67 |
| 88¢ | 894.18 | $786.88 |
| 89¢ | 1,273.79 | $1,133.67 |
| 90¢ | 705.43 | $634.89 |
| 91¢ | 549 | $499.59 |
| 92¢ | 499 | $459.08 |
| 93¢ | 732 | $680.76 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.