All markets
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026?
5%chance
- Yes4.5%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
4.5¢ per share
- No95%
95.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 4.5¢Spread 2.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.2¢ | 115 | $3.68 |
| 3.1¢ | 341.77 | $10.59 |
| 3¢ | 5 | $0.15 |
| 2.5¢ | 105 | $2.63 |
| 2¢ | 105 | $2.10 |
| 1.7¢ | 200 | $3.40 |
| 1.6¢ | 300 | $4.80 |
| 1.5¢ | 605 | $9.08 |
| 1.4¢ | 1,276.43 | $17.87 |
| 1.3¢ | 1,000 | $13.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.9¢ | 72.43 | $4.27 |
| 6¢ | 100.19 | $6.01 |
| 7¢ | 100 | $7.00 |
| 8¢ | 100 | $8.00 |
| 9¢ | 100 | $9.00 |
| 9.5¢ | 10 | $0.95 |
| 9.6¢ | 200 | $19.20 |
| 9.9¢ | 100 | $9.90 |
| 10¢ | 430 | $43.00 |
| 10.8¢ | 91.5 | $9.88 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.