All markets
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?
2%chance
- Yes1.5%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
1.5¢ per share
- No99%
98.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.5¢Spread 0.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4¢ | 51.96 | $0.73 |
| 1.3¢ | 5 | $0.07 |
| 1.2¢ | 5 | $0.06 |
| 1.1¢ | 259 | $2.85 |
| 1¢ | 805 | $8.05 |
| 0.9¢ | 205 | $1.84 |
| 0.8¢ | 2,005 | $16.04 |
| 0.7¢ | 10.02 | $0.07 |
| 0.6¢ | 2,010 | $12.06 |
| 0.5¢ | 1,005 | $5.03 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6¢ | 206.39 | $3.30 |
| 1.7¢ | 86.26 | $1.47 |
| 3.8¢ | 43.18 | $1.64 |
| 5¢ | 98.1 | $4.91 |
| 5.4¢ | 51 | $2.75 |
| 5.5¢ | 100 | $5.50 |
| 5.7¢ | 50 | $2.85 |
| 6¢ | 33.4 | $2.00 |
| 7¢ | 100 | $7.00 |
| 7.7¢ | 200 | $15.40 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.