All markets
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026?
2%chance
- Yes1.6%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
1.6¢ per share
- No98%
98.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.6¢Spread 1.3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9¢ | 6.6 | $0.06 |
| 0.8¢ | 126.96 | $1.02 |
| 0.7¢ | 5 | $0.04 |
| 0.6¢ | 205 | $1.23 |
| 0.5¢ | 205 | $1.03 |
| 0.4¢ | 378.64 | $1.51 |
| 0.3¢ | 1,115.94 | $3.35 |
| 0.2¢ | 2,005 | $4.01 |
| 0.1¢ | 13,791.1 | $13.79 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2¢ | 42.45 | $0.93 |
| 2.3¢ | 98.53 | $2.27 |
| 2.4¢ | 90 | $2.16 |
| 2.5¢ | 1,300.11 | $32.50 |
| 2.9¢ | 5 | $0.15 |
| 3¢ | 100 | $3.00 |
| 3.4¢ | 169.11 | $5.75 |
| 3.5¢ | 100 | $3.50 |
| 4¢ | 122.12 | $4.88 |
| 4.5¢ | 100 | $4.50 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.