All markets
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in October 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.5%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.5¢ per share
- No>99%
99.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.5¢Spread 0.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2¢ | 2,541.95 | $5.08 |
| 0.1¢ | 9,170.93 | $9.17 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8¢ | 125.67 | $1.01 |
| 0.9¢ | 126.03 | $1.13 |
| 1¢ | 815.48 | $8.15 |
| 1.5¢ | 500 | $7.50 |
| 1.8¢ | 149.99 | $2.70 |
| 1.9¢ | 80 | $1.52 |
| 2¢ | 180 | $3.60 |
| 3¢ | 100 | $3.00 |
| 4¢ | 58.35 | $2.33 |
| 4.3¢ | 51 | $2.19 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.