All markets
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.3%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.3¢ per share
- No>99%
99.8¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.3¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2¢ | 671 | $1.34 |
| 0.1¢ | 8,205.84 | $8.21 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3¢ | 61.2 | $0.18 |
| 0.4¢ | 408.52 | $1.63 |
| 0.5¢ | 632.03 | $3.16 |
| 0.6¢ | 9.87 | $0.06 |
| 1¢ | 500 | $5.00 |
| 2.5¢ | 372.41 | $9.31 |
| 3.9¢ | 480 | $18.72 |
| 4¢ | 50 | $2.00 |
| 4.3¢ | 51 | $2.19 |
| 5¢ | 61.14 | $3.06 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.