All markets
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in October 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.2%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.2¢ per share
- No>99%
99.8¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.2¢Spread 0.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1¢ | 4,306.3 | $4.31 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3¢ | 35.18 | $0.11 |
| 0.4¢ | 251.5 | $1.01 |
| 0.6¢ | 78.8 | $0.47 |
| 0.7¢ | 625 | $4.38 |
| 0.9¢ | 89.2 | $0.80 |
| 1¢ | 580.01 | $5.80 |
| 1.1¢ | 52.96 | $0.58 |
| 1.2¢ | 345 | $4.14 |
| 1.3¢ | 168 | $2.18 |
| 1.4¢ | 1,031.38 | $14.44 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.