All markets
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in October 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.1%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.1¢ per share
- No>99%
100.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint —Spread —
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| No bids | ||
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1¢ | 1,384.97 | $1.38 |
| 0.2¢ | 2,128.29 | $4.26 |
| 0.5¢ | 25.1 | $0.13 |
| 0.6¢ | 150 | $0.90 |
| 0.7¢ | 65.26 | $0.46 |
| 0.8¢ | 500 | $4.00 |
| 1.2¢ | 156 | $1.87 |
| 10.6¢ | 135 | $14.31 |
| 10.7¢ | 60 | $6.42 |
| 10.9¢ | 10 | $1.09 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.