All markets
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in October 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.1%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.1¢ per share
- No>99%
100.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint —Spread —
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| No bids | ||
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1¢ | 482.3 | $0.48 |
| 0.2¢ | 356 | $0.71 |
| 0.3¢ | 2,517.89 | $7.55 |
| 0.4¢ | 575 | $2.30 |
| 0.6¢ | 47.3 | $0.28 |
| 0.7¢ | 345 | $2.42 |
| 0.8¢ | 26.2 | $0.21 |
| 0.9¢ | 148.51 | $1.34 |
| 1¢ | 13 | $0.13 |
| 1.2¢ | 156 | $1.87 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.