All markets
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in October 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.1%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.1¢ per share
- No>99%
100.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint —Spread —
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| No bids | ||
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1¢ | 2,541.6 | $2.54 |
| 0.2¢ | 459.18 | $0.92 |
| 0.3¢ | 1,914.8 | $5.74 |
| 0.4¢ | 1,149.99 | $4.60 |
| 0.5¢ | 200 | $1.00 |
| 1¢ | 213 | $2.13 |
| 1.5¢ | 200 | $3.00 |
| 2¢ | 5 | $0.10 |
| 10.5¢ | 60 | $6.30 |
| 10.6¢ | 135 | $14.31 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.