All markets
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in October 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.1%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.1¢ per share
- No>99%
100.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint —Spread —
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| No bids | ||
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1¢ | 3,528.01 | $3.53 |
| 0.3¢ | 150 | $0.45 |
| 0.4¢ | 1,315.5 | $5.26 |
| 0.5¢ | 289.99 | $1.45 |
| 0.9¢ | 77 | $0.69 |
| 1¢ | 306.29 | $3.06 |
| 2¢ | 310 | $6.20 |
| 9.9¢ | 30 | $2.97 |
| 11.8¢ | 10 | $1.18 |
| 13.3¢ | 90 | $11.97 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.