All markets
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?
20%chance
- Yes19.5%
Outcomes
- Yes20%
19.5¢ per share
- No81%
80.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 19.5¢Spread 3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 18¢ | 370.56 | $66.70 |
| 17¢ | 107.98 | $18.36 |
| 15¢ | 153.12 | $22.97 |
| 14¢ | 36 | $5.04 |
| 10¢ | 21 | $2.10 |
| 5¢ | 10.89 | $0.54 |
| 4¢ | 474 | $18.96 |
| 3¢ | 540.73 | $16.22 |
| 2¢ | 982.27 | $19.65 |
| 1¢ | 2,865.21 | $28.65 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 21¢ | 86.66 | $18.20 |
| 22¢ | 233.58 | $51.39 |
| 38¢ | 86.52 | $32.88 |
| 39¢ | 11.47 | $4.47 |
| 41¢ | 6 | $2.46 |
| 45¢ | 36 | $16.20 |
| 61¢ | 5.12 | $3.12 |
| 66¢ | 758 | $500.28 |
| 67¢ | 3,030.3 | $2,030.30 |
| 71¢ | 4,137.93 | $2,937.93 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.