All markets
Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?
3%chance
- Yes2.6%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
2.6¢ per share
- No97%
97.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.6¢Spread 3.5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9¢ | 12.74 | $0.11 |
| 0.8¢ | 48.23 | $0.39 |
| 0.7¢ | 271.36 | $1.90 |
| 0.6¢ | 446.78 | $2.68 |
| 0.5¢ | 50 | $0.25 |
| 0.3¢ | 81.19 | $0.24 |
| 0.2¢ | 444.27 | $0.89 |
| 0.1¢ | 599.3 | $0.60 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4¢ | 30 | $1.32 |
| 4.5¢ | 500 | $22.50 |
| 5¢ | 540.32 | $27.02 |
| 6¢ | 1,000 | $60.00 |
| 8¢ | 337.88 | $27.03 |
| 8.5¢ | 59.89 | $5.09 |
| 10¢ | 500 | $50.00 |
| 33¢ | 1,999.99 | $660.00 |
| 59¢ | 20 | $11.80 |
| 74¢ | 20 | $14.80 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoebe Gates is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.