All markets
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?
16%chance
- Yes15.6%
Outcomes
- Yes16%
15.6¢ per share
- No84%
84.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 15.6¢Spread 28.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2¢ | 30 | $0.36 |
| 1.1¢ | 355 | $3.91 |
| 1¢ | 753.98 | $7.54 |
| 0.4¢ | 255.76 | $1.02 |
| 0.3¢ | 416.67 | $1.25 |
| 0.2¢ | 625 | $1.25 |
| 0.1¢ | 4,584.03 | $4.58 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 29.9¢ | 23.19 | $6.93 |
| 30¢ | 50 | $15.00 |
| 65¢ | 5.3 | $3.45 |
| 74¢ | 20 | $14.80 |
| 99¢ | 5 | $4.95 |
| 99.7¢ | 42 | $41.87 |
| 99.8¢ | 70.5 | $70.36 |
| 99.9¢ | 657.99 | $657.33 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.