All markets
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?
71%chance
- Yes70.5%
Outcomes
- Yes71%
70.5¢ per share
- No30%
29.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 70.5¢Spread 5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 68¢ | 60.1 | $40.87 |
| 67¢ | 119.19 | $79.86 |
| 52¢ | 40 | $20.80 |
| 50¢ | 270 | $135.00 |
| 49¢ | 20 | $9.80 |
| 47¢ | 482.8 | $226.92 |
| 45¢ | 488.87 | $219.99 |
| 42¢ | 51.85 | $21.78 |
| 40¢ | 20 | $8.00 |
| 34¢ | 93.95 | $31.94 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 73¢ | 60 | $43.80 |
| 74¢ | 332.35 | $245.94 |
| 77¢ | 319.74 | $246.20 |
| 82¢ | 18.55 | $15.21 |
| 85¢ | 20 | $17.00 |
| 86¢ | 348 | $299.28 |
| 87¢ | 575.22 | $500.44 |
| 88¢ | 5 | $4.40 |
| 90¢ | 211.64 | $190.48 |
| 96¢ | 7.4 | $7.10 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new party where Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, is in a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying party must be newly formed and gain full recognition from the JCE by the listed date (see: https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party will not qualify if it is an existing party that was simply renamed or recomposed with Alofoke in leadership. Alofoke must be in a leadership position of the party. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).