All markets
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
5%chance
- Yes5%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
5.0¢ per share
- No95%
95.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5¢Spread 4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3¢ | 547.96 | $16.44 |
| 2¢ | 2,877.31 | $57.55 |
| 1¢ | 3,050.6 | $30.51 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7¢ | 1,453.38 | $101.74 |
| 8¢ | 430 | $34.40 |
| 9¢ | 644.48 | $58.00 |
| 13¢ | 1.9 | $0.25 |
| 14¢ | 9.3 | $1.30 |
| 15¢ | 500 | $75.00 |
| 74¢ | 5 | $3.70 |
| 95¢ | 6.46 | $6.14 |
| 98¢ | 64 | $62.72 |
| 99¢ | 106.88 | $105.81 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that T-Mobile US (TMUS) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX (SPCX), or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying merger or acquisition must encompass both TMUS and SPCX or their subsidiaries. An announcement by TMUS or SPCX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company announces the acquisition of a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TMUS and SPCX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.