All markets
Will Waymo launch in Tokyo, Japan by December 31 2026?
4%chance
- Yes3.6%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.6¢ per share
- No96%
96.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.6¢Spread 3.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1¢ | 21 | $0.44 |
| 2¢ | 506.67 | $10.13 |
| 1.9¢ | 50 | $0.95 |
| 1.8¢ | 20 | $0.36 |
| 1.7¢ | 20 | $0.34 |
| 1.3¢ | 18.69 | $0.24 |
| 1.2¢ | 114 | $1.37 |
| 1.1¢ | 195.92 | $2.16 |
| 1¢ | 1,575 | $15.75 |
| 0.7¢ | 22.06 | $0.15 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.2¢ | 125.09 | $6.50 |
| 5.3¢ | 50 | $2.65 |
| 5.5¢ | 20 | $1.10 |
| 5.6¢ | 20 | $1.12 |
| 6¢ | 20 | $1.20 |
| 6.1¢ | 20 | $1.22 |
| 6.2¢ | 175 | $10.85 |
| 7.1¢ | 502.92 | $35.71 |
| 13.4¢ | 15 | $2.01 |
| 15¢ | 1,000 | $150.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.