All markets
Will Waymo launch in Seattle, WA by December 31 2026?
6%chance
- Yes6%
Outcomes
- Yes6%
6.0¢ per share
- No94%
94.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 6¢Spread 4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4¢ | 7.6 | $0.30 |
| 3¢ | 164.08 | $4.92 |
| 2¢ | 937.37 | $18.75 |
| 1¢ | 1,642.97 | $16.43 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 8¢ | 45 | $3.60 |
| 9¢ | 230.99 | $20.79 |
| 10¢ | 58.36 | $5.84 |
| 12¢ | 19 | $2.28 |
| 24¢ | 10 | $2.40 |
| 59¢ | 5 | $2.95 |
| 88¢ | 8.33 | $7.33 |
| 91¢ | 5.61 | $5.11 |
| 92¢ | 12.5 | $11.50 |
| 95¢ | 15 | $14.25 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.