All markets
Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?
51%chance
- Yes52.9%
Outcomes
- Yes51%
50.5¢ per share
- No49%
49.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 52.9¢Spread 70.4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 17.7¢ | 6.47 | $1.15 |
| 17.5¢ | 6.47 | $1.13 |
| 16.6¢ | 9.03 | $1.50 |
| 8.1¢ | 5.93 | $0.48 |
| 8¢ | 40 | $3.20 |
| 7.7¢ | 60 | $4.62 |
| 5.6¢ | 20 | $1.12 |
| 4.1¢ | 12 | $0.49 |
| 3.2¢ | 6.62 | $0.21 |
| 3.1¢ | 30 | $0.93 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 88.1¢ | 94.81 | $83.53 |
| 88.2¢ | 30 | $26.46 |
| 88.4¢ | 60 | $53.04 |
| 91.7¢ | 24 | $22.01 |
| 91.8¢ | 40 | $36.72 |
| 91.9¢ | 20 | $18.38 |
| 93.5¢ | 30 | $28.05 |
| 97.3¢ | 20 | $19.46 |
| 98.8¢ | 5 | $4.94 |
| 99.6¢ | 5 | $4.98 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count. If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).