All markets
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
75%chance
- Yes75%
Outcomes
- Yes75%
75.0¢ per share
- No25%
25.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 74¢Spread 22¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 63¢ | 56.11 | $35.35 |
| 62¢ | 100 | $62.00 |
| 60¢ | 200 | $120.00 |
| 45¢ | 100 | $45.00 |
| 37¢ | 30 | $11.10 |
| 36¢ | 100 | $36.00 |
| 26¢ | 30 | $7.80 |
| 23¢ | 20 | $4.60 |
| 10¢ | 5 | $0.50 |
| 6¢ | 6.93 | $0.42 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 85¢ | 56.72 | $48.21 |
| 86¢ | 30 | $25.80 |
| 87¢ | 40 | $34.80 |
| 88¢ | 5 | $4.40 |
| 90¢ | 5 | $4.50 |
| 92¢ | 5 | $4.60 |
| 93¢ | 20 | $18.60 |
| 94¢ | 5 | $4.70 |
| 96¢ | 14.86 | $14.27 |
| 97¢ | 30 | $29.10 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".