All markets
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?
2%chance
- Yes2.3%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
2.3¢ per share
- No98%
97.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.3¢Spread 1.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7¢ | 34.51 | $0.59 |
| 1.2¢ | 100 | $1.20 |
| 1¢ | 66.66 | $0.67 |
| 0.9¢ | 66.66 | $0.60 |
| 0.8¢ | 210 | $1.68 |
| 0.7¢ | 472.33 | $3.31 |
| 0.6¢ | 133.88 | $0.80 |
| 0.5¢ | 170.73 | $0.85 |
| 0.3¢ | 2,843.48 | $8.53 |
| 0.2¢ | 5,100 | $10.20 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.9¢ | 5 | $0.15 |
| 3¢ | 60 | $1.80 |
| 3.1¢ | 100 | $3.10 |
| 3.2¢ | 488.48 | $15.63 |
| 3.4¢ | 579 | $19.69 |
| 3.6¢ | 207.46 | $7.47 |
| 3.9¢ | 537.08 | $20.95 |
| 4¢ | 129.28 | $5.17 |
| 4.2¢ | 800 | $33.60 |
| 4.6¢ | 5 | $0.23 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.