All markets
Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
3%chance
- Yes3%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
3.0¢ per share
- No97%
97.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3¢Spread 3.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2¢ | 35.49 | $0.43 |
| 1.1¢ | 300 | $3.30 |
| 1¢ | 500 | $5.00 |
| 0.5¢ | 46.51 | $0.23 |
| 0.4¢ | 200 | $0.80 |
| 0.3¢ | 22.38 | $0.07 |
| 0.2¢ | 216.97 | $0.43 |
| 0.1¢ | 2,033.89 | $2.03 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.9¢ | 6.11 | $0.30 |
| 5¢ | 300 | $15.00 |
| 14.9¢ | 9.4 | $1.40 |
| 15¢ | 15 | $2.25 |
| 20¢ | 20 | $4.00 |
| 97.1¢ | 14.48 | $14.06 |
| 97.2¢ | 15 | $14.58 |
| 97.4¢ | 76 | $74.02 |
| 98.9¢ | 5.29 | $5.23 |
| 99¢ | 500 | $495.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any unmanned rocket owned or operated by Blue Origin explodes at any point during a launch, launch test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.