All markets
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
2%chance
- Yes2%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
2.0¢ per share
- No98%
98.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2¢Spread 1.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2¢ | 134.21 | $1.61 |
| 0.9¢ | 150 | $1.35 |
| 0.8¢ | 125 | $1.00 |
| 0.6¢ | 370 | $2.22 |
| 0.3¢ | 933 | $2.80 |
| 0.2¢ | 28,205.34 | $56.41 |
| 0.1¢ | 165,645.96 | $165.65 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.8¢ | 223.66 | $6.26 |
| 2.9¢ | 115 | $3.34 |
| 3¢ | 30 | $0.90 |
| 3.3¢ | 665.89 | $21.97 |
| 3.4¢ | 1,204 | $40.94 |
| 3.5¢ | 2,590 | $90.65 |
| 3.6¢ | 201 | $7.24 |
| 3.7¢ | 200 | $7.40 |
| 4¢ | 100 | $4.00 |
| 4.1¢ | 888.88 | $36.44 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.