All markets
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch?
<1%chance
- Yes0.9%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.9¢ per share
- No>99%
99.1¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.9¢Spread 1.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3¢ | 126.7 | $0.38 |
| 0.2¢ | 1,700 | $3.40 |
| 0.1¢ | 1,228 | $1.23 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5¢ | 161.5 | $2.42 |
| 4.7¢ | 23.29 | $1.09 |
| 4.8¢ | 30 | $1.44 |
| 59¢ | 5 | $2.95 |
| 68.8¢ | 1,421.79 | $978.19 |
| 68.9¢ | 100 | $68.90 |
| 79¢ | 1,714.28 | $1,354.28 |
| 89¢ | 27,418.15 | $24,402.15 |
| 94¢ | 46,249.98 | $43,474.98 |
| 96.8¢ | 10.47 | $10.13 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".