All markets
Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch?
5%chance
- Yes5.1%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
5.1¢ per share
- No95%
95.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5.1¢Spread 1.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.2¢ | 100 | $4.20 |
| 4.1¢ | 100.58 | $4.12 |
| 4¢ | 35 | $1.40 |
| 3.8¢ | 60 | $2.28 |
| 3.5¢ | 70 | $2.45 |
| 2.1¢ | 5.62 | $0.12 |
| 2¢ | 311.2 | $6.22 |
| 1.3¢ | 9.73 | $0.13 |
| 1.2¢ | 60 | $0.72 |
| 1.1¢ | 2,539.2 | $27.93 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.9¢ | 13 | $0.77 |
| 6¢ | 30 | $1.80 |
| 6.2¢ | 43 | $2.67 |
| 6.3¢ | 106.7 | $6.72 |
| 7.1¢ | 60 | $4.26 |
| 7.2¢ | 150 | $10.80 |
| 98.1¢ | 18.8 | $18.44 |
| 98.2¢ | 111 | $109.00 |
| 98.4¢ | 79 | $77.74 |
| 98.8¢ | 333.33 | $329.33 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".