All markets
Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?
11%chance
- Yes10.8%
Outcomes
- Yes11%
10.8¢ per share
- No89%
89.1¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 10.8¢Spread 2.5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9.6¢ | 60 | $5.76 |
| 9.4¢ | 31 | $2.91 |
| 8.7¢ | 132 | $11.48 |
| 7.7¢ | 31 | $2.39 |
| 5.8¢ | 62 | $3.60 |
| 4¢ | 5 | $0.20 |
| 2.8¢ | 7.92 | $0.22 |
| 2.7¢ | 92 | $2.48 |
| 2¢ | 200 | $4.00 |
| 1.9¢ | 94 | $1.79 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12.1¢ | 160 | $19.36 |
| 12.3¢ | 30 | $3.69 |
| 12.4¢ | 31 | $3.84 |
| 12.8¢ | 30 | $3.84 |
| 19.9¢ | 9.98 | $1.99 |
| 20¢ | 3.41 | $0.68 |
| 31.4¢ | 190 | $59.66 |
| 32¢ | 50 | $16.00 |
| 97.7¢ | 5 | $4.89 |
| 99.8¢ | 196 | $195.61 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".