All markets
Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?
38%chance
- Yes37.5%
Outcomes
- Yes38%
37.5¢ per share
- No63%
62.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 37.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 37¢ | 450.91 | $166.84 |
| 36¢ | 151.84 | $54.66 |
| 34¢ | 567.57 | $192.97 |
| 29¢ | 1,000 | $290.00 |
| 23¢ | 34.78 | $8.00 |
| 22¢ | 530 | $116.60 |
| 20¢ | 1,095 | $219.00 |
| 15¢ | 20 | $3.00 |
| 12¢ | 5 | $0.60 |
| 10¢ | 31 | $3.10 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 38¢ | 215.6 | $81.93 |
| 39¢ | 181.84 | $70.92 |
| 48¢ | 19.23 | $9.23 |
| 49¢ | 9.34 | $4.58 |
| 50¢ | 1,000 | $500.00 |
| 66¢ | 27 | $17.82 |
| 69¢ | 1,129.03 | $779.03 |
| 78¢ | 2,340.36 | $1,825.48 |
| 82¢ | 1,666.66 | $1,366.66 |
| 86¢ | 1,785.71 | $1,535.71 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".