All markets
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?
49%chance
- Yes48.5%
Outcomes
- Yes49%
48.5¢ per share
- No52%
51.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 48.5¢Spread 7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 45¢ | 232.41 | $104.58 |
| 40¢ | 115 | $46.00 |
| 39¢ | 72 | $28.08 |
| 38¢ | 500 | $190.00 |
| 32¢ | 25 | $8.00 |
| 31¢ | 1,000 | $310.00 |
| 29¢ | 780 | $226.20 |
| 28¢ | 50 | $14.00 |
| 18¢ | 555 | $99.90 |
| 17¢ | 187 | $31.79 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 52¢ | 95 | $49.40 |
| 57¢ | 18.6 | $10.60 |
| 58¢ | 65 | $37.70 |
| 69¢ | 300 | $207.00 |
| 70¢ | 50 | $35.00 |
| 88¢ | 735 | $646.80 |
| 89¢ | 100 | $89.00 |
| 94¢ | 2,916.66 | $2,741.66 |
| 96¢ | 7.99 | $7.67 |
| 97¢ | 5,000 | $4,850.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".