All markets
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
66%chance
- Yes66.5%
Outcomes
- Yes66%
66.0¢ per share
- No34%
34.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 66.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 66¢ | 185.95 | $122.73 |
| 65¢ | 541.82 | $352.18 |
| 64¢ | 1,771.32 | $1,133.64 |
| 62¢ | 33 | $20.46 |
| 58¢ | 25.24 | $14.64 |
| 57¢ | 39.59 | $22.57 |
| 56¢ | 18 | $10.08 |
| 53¢ | 160 | $84.80 |
| 52¢ | 50 | $26.00 |
| 31¢ | 1,129.03 | $350.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 67¢ | 66 | $44.22 |
| 68¢ | 116 | $78.88 |
| 70¢ | 81.53 | $57.07 |
| 75¢ | 32 | $24.00 |
| 76¢ | 5 | $3.80 |
| 77¢ | 5 | $3.85 |
| 78¢ | 5 | $3.90 |
| 82¢ | 5 | $4.10 |
| 83¢ | 15 | $12.45 |
| 87¢ | 20 | $17.40 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".