All markets
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
2%chance
- Yes1.6%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
1.6¢ per share
- No98%
98.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.6¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5¢ | 848.51 | $12.73 |
| 1.4¢ | 19.43 | $0.27 |
| 1.3¢ | 678.05 | $8.81 |
| 1.2¢ | 83,059.97 | $996.72 |
| 1.1¢ | 115 | $1.27 |
| 1¢ | 125 | $1.25 |
| 0.9¢ | 1,677.14 | $15.09 |
| 0.8¢ | 113,480.6 | $907.84 |
| 0.7¢ | 54,170.51 | $379.19 |
| 0.6¢ | 4,592.03 | $27.55 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6¢ | 16,754.82 | $268.08 |
| 1.7¢ | 1,885.33 | $32.05 |
| 1.8¢ | 613.94 | $11.05 |
| 1.9¢ | 15 | $0.29 |
| 2¢ | 8,452.08 | $169.04 |
| 2.3¢ | 4,301.35 | $98.93 |
| 2.4¢ | 5,000 | $120.00 |
| 2.5¢ | 966.5 | $24.16 |
| 2.6¢ | 2,300 | $59.80 |
| 2.7¢ | 7,454.99 | $201.28 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.