All markets
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?
<1%chance
- Yes0.9%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.9¢ per share
- No>99%
99.1¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.9¢Spread 0.8¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5¢ | 150 | $0.75 |
| 0.4¢ | 188.95 | $0.76 |
| 0.3¢ | 240 | $0.72 |
| 0.2¢ | 400 | $0.80 |
| 0.1¢ | 4,250 | $4.25 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3¢ | 5 | $0.07 |
| 3.8¢ | 30 | $1.14 |
| 3.9¢ | 1,000 | $39.00 |
| 6¢ | 2,000 | $120.00 |
| 10¢ | 5,000 | $500.00 |
| 31¢ | 8 | $2.48 |
| 38.9¢ | 5 | $1.95 |
| 39¢ | 1,500 | $585.00 |
| 44¢ | 2,042.41 | $898.66 |
| 49¢ | 2,242.65 | $1,098.90 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.