All markets
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before 2027?
11%chance
- Yes11.3%
Outcomes
- Yes11%
11.2¢ per share
- No89%
88.8¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 11.3¢Spread 18.9¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.8¢ | 17.51 | $0.32 |
| 1.2¢ | 13.25 | $0.16 |
| 1.1¢ | 350 | $3.85 |
| 1¢ | 500 | $5.00 |
| 0.5¢ | 38.16 | $0.19 |
| 0.4¢ | 256.52 | $1.03 |
| 0.3¢ | 434.1 | $1.30 |
| 0.2¢ | 1,050.14 | $2.10 |
| 0.1¢ | 8,899.19 | $8.90 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 20.7¢ | 0.61 | $0.13 |
| 21.9¢ | 11 | $2.41 |
| 64¢ | 20 | $12.80 |
| 80.9¢ | 9.56 | $7.73 |
| 95.7¢ | 9.37 | $8.97 |
| 95.8¢ | 9 | $8.62 |
| 95.9¢ | 6.35 | $6.09 |
| 98.9¢ | 5.69 | $5.63 |
| 99¢ | 500 | $495.00 |
| 99.5¢ | 5.43 | $5.40 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.