All markets
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?
4%chance
- Yes3.9%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.9¢ per share
- No96%
96.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.9¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.8¢ | 98.23 | $3.73 |
| 3.5¢ | 200 | $7.00 |
| 3.4¢ | 70 | $2.38 |
| 3¢ | 13.98 | $0.42 |
| 1.2¢ | 143 | $1.72 |
| 1.1¢ | 238.54 | $2.62 |
| 0.7¢ | 131.42 | $0.92 |
| 0.6¢ | 262.14 | $1.57 |
| 0.5¢ | 388.73 | $1.94 |
| 0.4¢ | 486.69 | $1.95 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.9¢ | 27.63 | $1.08 |
| 4.1¢ | 409 | $16.77 |
| 4.2¢ | 40 | $1.68 |
| 4.3¢ | 20 | $0.86 |
| 5¢ | 214 | $10.70 |
| 5.3¢ | 607.98 | $32.22 |
| 6¢ | 877.17 | $52.63 |
| 6.6¢ | 20 | $1.32 |
| 32.8¢ | 8 | $2.62 |
| 59¢ | 20 | $11.80 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.