All markets
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?
10%chance
- Yes10%
Outcomes
- Yes10%
10.0¢ per share
- No90%
90.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 10¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9¢ | 306.23 | $27.56 |
| 8¢ | 180 | $14.40 |
| 7¢ | 40 | $2.80 |
| 6¢ | 435.55 | $26.13 |
| 4¢ | 14.37 | $0.57 |
| 3¢ | 534 | $16.02 |
| 2¢ | 474.2 | $9.48 |
| 1¢ | 981.5 | $9.82 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 11¢ | 266.19 | $29.28 |
| 12¢ | 240 | $28.80 |
| 13¢ | 20 | $2.60 |
| 15¢ | 10 | $1.50 |
| 16¢ | 20 | $3.20 |
| 49¢ | 70.47 | $34.53 |
| 50¢ | 500 | $250.00 |
| 59¢ | 20 | $11.80 |
| 63¢ | 408 | $257.04 |
| 64¢ | 2,777.77 | $1,777.77 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.