All markets
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?
8%chance
- Yes7.9%
Outcomes
- Yes8%
7.9¢ per share
- No92%
92.1¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 7.9¢Spread 2.8¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5¢ | 82 | $5.33 |
| 6.4¢ | 39.99 | $2.56 |
| 6.2¢ | 20 | $1.24 |
| 6¢ | 20 | $1.20 |
| 5.1¢ | 20 | $1.02 |
| 5¢ | 20 | $1.00 |
| 4¢ | 5 | $0.20 |
| 3.5¢ | 10.22 | $0.36 |
| 3.4¢ | 163 | $5.54 |
| 3¢ | 519.66 | $15.59 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9.3¢ | 79.05 | $7.35 |
| 9.6¢ | 20 | $1.92 |
| 9.8¢ | 15.99 | $1.57 |
| 10¢ | 18.37 | $1.84 |
| 10.2¢ | 80 | $8.16 |
| 10.3¢ | 87.12 | $8.97 |
| 10.4¢ | 20 | $2.08 |
| 10.9¢ | 30 | $3.27 |
| 11¢ | 20 | $2.20 |
| 11.8¢ | 5 | $0.59 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.