All markets
Will Pam Bondi be arrested before 2027?
5%chance
- Yes5.3%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
5.3¢ per share
- No95%
94.8¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5.3¢Spread 1.3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.6¢ | 130 | $5.98 |
| 4.5¢ | 116 | $5.22 |
| 4.4¢ | 100 | $4.40 |
| 4.3¢ | 9.23 | $0.40 |
| 3.9¢ | 113.8 | $4.44 |
| 3.6¢ | 825.27 | $29.71 |
| 2.6¢ | 144.4 | $3.75 |
| 2.5¢ | 6.52 | $0.16 |
| 2.4¢ | 719.92 | $17.28 |
| 1.5¢ | 17.84 | $0.27 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.9¢ | 6.7 | $0.40 |
| 6¢ | 100 | $6.00 |
| 6.2¢ | 100 | $6.20 |
| 6.5¢ | 826.95 | $53.75 |
| 6.6¢ | 214.13 | $14.13 |
| 6.9¢ | 700 | $48.30 |
| 7¢ | 1,693.14 | $118.52 |
| 7.9¢ | 217.15 | $17.15 |
| 9.1¢ | 100 | $9.10 |
| 10¢ | 20 | $2.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.