All markets
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?
7%chance
- Yes6.6%
Outcomes
- Yes7%
6.6¢ per share
- No93%
93.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 6.6¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5¢ | 20 | $1.30 |
| 6¢ | 40 | $2.40 |
| 5.9¢ | 120.1 | $7.09 |
| 5.8¢ | 91.02 | $5.28 |
| 5.7¢ | 61.02 | $3.48 |
| 5.6¢ | 61.02 | $3.42 |
| 5.5¢ | 796.94 | $43.83 |
| 5.4¢ | 233.17 | $12.59 |
| 5.3¢ | 231.29 | $12.26 |
| 5.2¢ | 59.49 | $3.09 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6.6¢ | 94.01 | $6.20 |
| 6.7¢ | 100 | $6.70 |
| 6.9¢ | 40 | $2.76 |
| 7¢ | 20 | $1.40 |
| 7.3¢ | 89.5 | $6.53 |
| 7.4¢ | 74.5 | $5.51 |
| 7.5¢ | 68.5 | $5.14 |
| 7.6¢ | 809.6 | $61.53 |
| 7.7¢ | 209.6 | $16.14 |
| 7.8¢ | 164.28 | $12.81 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.