All markets
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?
3%chance
- Yes2.7%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
2.7¢ per share
- No97%
97.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.7¢Spread 0.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.4¢ | 731 | $17.54 |
| 2.3¢ | 70 | $1.61 |
| 2.1¢ | 40 | $0.84 |
| 2¢ | 20 | $0.40 |
| 1.8¢ | 1,001.78 | $18.03 |
| 1.7¢ | 220 | $3.74 |
| 1.4¢ | 372.55 | $5.22 |
| 1.3¢ | 67.45 | $0.88 |
| 1¢ | 500 | $5.00 |
| 0.6¢ | 750 | $4.50 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3¢ | 965.15 | $28.95 |
| 3.3¢ | 90 | $2.97 |
| 3.4¢ | 320 | $10.88 |
| 3.6¢ | 405.16 | $14.59 |
| 3.7¢ | 287.68 | $10.64 |
| 3.8¢ | 100 | $3.80 |
| 3.9¢ | 520.29 | $20.29 |
| 4¢ | 416.66 | $16.67 |
| 5¢ | 210.52 | $10.53 |
| 6¢ | 248.06 | $14.88 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.