All markets
Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?
2%chance
- Yes1.8%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
1.8¢ per share
- No98%
98.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.8¢Spread 0.5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5¢ | 50 | $0.75 |
| 1.3¢ | 104 | $1.35 |
| 0.9¢ | 808.28 | $7.27 |
| 0.8¢ | 320 | $2.56 |
| 0.6¢ | 421 | $2.53 |
| 0.5¢ | 1,116.64 | $5.58 |
| 0.4¢ | 143.35 | $0.57 |
| 0.3¢ | 200 | $0.60 |
| 0.2¢ | 4,700 | $9.40 |
| 0.1¢ | 23,747.42 | $23.75 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2¢ | 288.14 | $5.76 |
| 2.1¢ | 100 | $2.10 |
| 2.2¢ | 708 | $15.58 |
| 2.3¢ | 600 | $13.80 |
| 2.7¢ | 205.54 | $5.55 |
| 3¢ | 1,212.37 | $36.37 |
| 3.2¢ | 788.98 | $25.25 |
| 4¢ | 7,808.33 | $312.33 |
| 4.4¢ | 2,097.05 | $92.27 |
| 5¢ | 421.05 | $21.05 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.