All markets
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
8%chance
- Yes7.5%
Outcomes
- Yes8%
7.5¢ per share
- No93%
92.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 7.5¢Spread 0.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7.4¢ | 725.81 | $53.71 |
| 7.3¢ | 2,000 | $146.00 |
| 7.1¢ | 200 | $14.20 |
| 7¢ | 200 | $14.00 |
| 6.9¢ | 17,179 | $1,185.35 |
| 6.8¢ | 1,000 | $68.00 |
| 6.7¢ | 261.72 | $17.54 |
| 6.5¢ | 9,106.53 | $591.92 |
| 6.4¢ | 5,026.67 | $321.71 |
| 5.9¢ | 157.95 | $9.32 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7.6¢ | 59.46 | $4.52 |
| 7.7¢ | 4,916.66 | $378.58 |
| 7.8¢ | 600 | $46.80 |
| 7.9¢ | 1,450 | $114.55 |
| 8¢ | 200 | $16.00 |
| 8.1¢ | 1,115 | $90.32 |
| 8.3¢ | 3,649.49 | $302.91 |
| 8.4¢ | 500 | $42.00 |
| 8.5¢ | 405 | $34.43 |
| 8.6¢ | 5,621.59 | $483.46 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.