All markets
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?
9%chance
- Yes9.3%
Outcomes
- Yes9%
9.3¢ per share
- No91%
90.8¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 9.3¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9.2¢ | 80 | $7.36 |
| 8.7¢ | 257.87 | $22.43 |
| 8.6¢ | 20 | $1.72 |
| 8.2¢ | 79 | $6.48 |
| 7.7¢ | 60 | $4.62 |
| 6.7¢ | 270 | $18.09 |
| 6.6¢ | 20.1 | $1.33 |
| 6.1¢ | 99.99 | $6.10 |
| 6¢ | 100.87 | $6.05 |
| 4.3¢ | 6.73 | $0.29 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9.3¢ | 203.1 | $18.89 |
| 9.6¢ | 80 | $7.68 |
| 9.7¢ | 20 | $1.94 |
| 10¢ | 123.87 | $12.39 |
| 10.1¢ | 20.01 | $2.02 |
| 10.3¢ | 139 | $14.32 |
| 10.5¢ | 29.73 | $3.12 |
| 11¢ | 69.99 | $7.70 |
| 15¢ | 19.98 | $3.00 |
| 18.9¢ | 102.93 | $19.45 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.