All markets
Alcatraz reopened in 2026?
3%chance
- Yes2.5%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
2.5¢ per share
- No97%
97.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.5¢Spread 1.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7¢ | 40 | $0.68 |
| 1.6¢ | 6.3 | $0.10 |
| 1.4¢ | 6 | $0.08 |
| 1.3¢ | 35.18 | $0.46 |
| 1.2¢ | 54.4 | $0.65 |
| 1.1¢ | 316.5 | $3.48 |
| 1¢ | 500 | $5.00 |
| 0.9¢ | 5 | $0.05 |
| 0.7¢ | 5 | $0.04 |
| 0.6¢ | 5 | $0.03 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.4¢ | 28.8 | $0.98 |
| 4¢ | 10 | $0.40 |
| 32.4¢ | 8 | $2.59 |
| 58.7¢ | 44.99 | $26.41 |
| 58.8¢ | 5 | $2.94 |
| 59¢ | 20 | $11.80 |
| 60.9¢ | 300 | $182.70 |
| 61¢ | 2,564.1 | $1,564.10 |
| 66¢ | 3,529.41 | $2,329.41 |
| 71¢ | 4,137.93 | $2,937.93 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.