All markets
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
8%chance
- Yes7.5%
Outcomes
- Yes8%
7.5¢ per share
- No93%
92.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 7.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7¢ | 34,939.65 | $2,445.78 |
| 6¢ | 4,339.16 | $260.35 |
| 5¢ | 15 | $0.75 |
| 4¢ | 15,810.36 | $632.41 |
| 3¢ | 15,315.7 | $459.47 |
| 2¢ | 40,269.5 | $805.39 |
| 1¢ | 528,546.75 | $5,285.47 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 8¢ | 13,971.07 | $1,117.69 |
| 9¢ | 38,702.97 | $3,483.27 |
| 10¢ | 21,174.25 | $2,117.43 |
| 11¢ | 31,566.82 | $3,472.35 |
| 12¢ | 100 | $12.00 |
| 13¢ | 2,569.98 | $334.10 |
| 14¢ | 874.23 | $122.39 |
| 15¢ | 707 | $106.05 |
| 16¢ | 319.04 | $51.05 |
| 17¢ | 107.69 | $18.31 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.