All markets
Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?
2%chance
- Yes2.3%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
2.3¢ per share
- No98%
97.8¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.3¢Spread 1.5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5¢ | 105.71 | $1.59 |
| 1.4¢ | 60 | $0.84 |
| 1.3¢ | 30 | $0.39 |
| 1.2¢ | 30 | $0.36 |
| 0.8¢ | 626.42 | $5.01 |
| 0.7¢ | 108.68 | $0.76 |
| 0.5¢ | 559.13 | $2.80 |
| 0.4¢ | 239.14 | $0.96 |
| 0.3¢ | 1,041.72 | $3.13 |
| 0.2¢ | 1,769.29 | $3.54 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3¢ | 30 | $0.90 |
| 3.1¢ | 370 | $11.47 |
| 3.3¢ | 130 | $4.29 |
| 3.6¢ | 30 | $1.08 |
| 3.7¢ | 145 | $5.36 |
| 3.8¢ | 317.75 | $12.07 |
| 3.9¢ | 220 | $8.58 |
| 4¢ | 607 | $24.28 |
| 4.1¢ | 209.88 | $8.61 |
| 4.2¢ | 31 | $1.30 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".