All markets
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?
4%chance
- Yes4.2%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
4.2¢ per share
- No96%
95.9¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 4.2¢Spread 2.3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3¢ | 70.3 | $2.11 |
| 2.9¢ | 239.41 | $6.94 |
| 2.7¢ | 420 | $11.34 |
| 2.6¢ | 59 | $1.53 |
| 2.3¢ | 189.67 | $4.36 |
| 2¢ | 151.74 | $3.03 |
| 1.9¢ | 50.98 | $0.97 |
| 1.8¢ | 1,575.72 | $28.36 |
| 1.7¢ | 421 | $7.16 |
| 1.5¢ | 600 | $9.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.3¢ | 130 | $6.89 |
| 5.4¢ | 370 | $19.98 |
| 5.5¢ | 60 | $3.30 |
| 6¢ | 283.31 | $17.00 |
| 6.1¢ | 72.84 | $4.44 |
| 6.2¢ | 250 | $15.50 |
| 6.3¢ | 162 | $10.21 |
| 6.4¢ | 59.5 | $3.81 |
| 6.5¢ | 254 | $16.51 |
| 7.3¢ | 53.42 | $3.90 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".