All markets
Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch?
7%chance
- Yes7.3%
Outcomes
- Yes7%
7.3¢ per share
- No93%
92.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 7.3¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6.8¢ | 100 | $6.80 |
| 6.7¢ | 251 | $16.82 |
| 6.6¢ | 30 | $1.98 |
| 6.5¢ | 30 | $1.95 |
| 6.4¢ | 129.67 | $8.30 |
| 6.2¢ | 131 | $8.12 |
| 6.1¢ | 115.25 | $7.03 |
| 6¢ | 114.13 | $6.85 |
| 5.8¢ | 329.55 | $19.11 |
| 5.7¢ | 137.38 | $7.83 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7.8¢ | 14.39 | $1.12 |
| 7.9¢ | 250 | $19.75 |
| 8.1¢ | 30 | $2.43 |
| 8.4¢ | 140 | $11.76 |
| 8.5¢ | 244.61 | $20.79 |
| 8.6¢ | 81.2 | $6.98 |
| 8.8¢ | 323.68 | $28.48 |
| 8.9¢ | 111.86 | $9.96 |
| 9¢ | 70.86 | $6.38 |
| 9.1¢ | 36.01 | $3.28 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".