All markets
Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch?
10%chance
- Yes9.8%
Outcomes
- Yes10%
9.8¢ per share
- No90%
90.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 9.8¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9.7¢ | 490.96 | $47.62 |
| 9.6¢ | 435 | $41.76 |
| 9.3¢ | 170.4 | $15.85 |
| 8.3¢ | 5 | $0.42 |
| 7.8¢ | 15 | $1.17 |
| 7.4¢ | 1,339 | $99.09 |
| 7.3¢ | 1,234 | $90.08 |
| 6.8¢ | 801.26 | $54.49 |
| 6.4¢ | 10 | $0.64 |
| 6.2¢ | 5 | $0.31 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9.8¢ | 593.3 | $58.14 |
| 9.9¢ | 370 | $36.63 |
| 10¢ | 30 | $3.00 |
| 10.2¢ | 179.42 | $18.30 |
| 11.2¢ | 5 | $0.56 |
| 11.3¢ | 238 | $26.89 |
| 12.2¢ | 1,234 | $150.55 |
| 13.8¢ | 10 | $1.38 |
| 20.3¢ | 10.03 | $2.04 |
| 20.4¢ | 730 | $148.92 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".