All markets
Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?
13%chance
- Yes13.2%
Outcomes
- Yes13%
13.2¢ per share
- No87%
86.9¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 13.2¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 13.1¢ | 291.82 | $38.23 |
| 13¢ | 154.65 | $20.10 |
| 12.8¢ | 30 | $3.84 |
| 12.7¢ | 74.08 | $9.41 |
| 12.5¢ | 110 | $13.75 |
| 11¢ | 115.74 | $12.73 |
| 10.2¢ | 434.67 | $44.34 |
| 9.1¢ | 10 | $0.91 |
| 6.3¢ | 10 | $0.63 |
| 4.4¢ | 90.9 | $4.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 13.2¢ | 734.4 | $96.94 |
| 13.4¢ | 50 | $6.70 |
| 13.5¢ | 30 | $4.05 |
| 13.6¢ | 176.33 | $23.98 |
| 14.6¢ | 5 | $0.73 |
| 15.6¢ | 1,354.48 | $211.30 |
| 18.3¢ | 110 | $20.13 |
| 23¢ | 30 | $6.90 |
| 23.9¢ | 10.51 | $2.51 |
| 24.9¢ | 100.45 | $25.01 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".