All markets
Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch?
11%chance
- Yes11.1%
Outcomes
- Yes11%
11.1¢ per share
- No89%
88.9¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 11.1¢Spread 2.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 10¢ | 100 | $10.00 |
| 9.9¢ | 30 | $2.97 |
| 9.6¢ | 137.43 | $13.19 |
| 9.5¢ | 134.72 | $12.80 |
| 8.9¢ | 10.9 | $0.97 |
| 8.1¢ | 194 | $15.71 |
| 8¢ | 20 | $1.60 |
| 7.8¢ | 20 | $1.56 |
| 7.6¢ | 691.2 | $52.53 |
| 6.5¢ | 5 | $0.33 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12.2¢ | 30 | $3.66 |
| 12.3¢ | 136.15 | $16.75 |
| 12.5¢ | 97.71 | $12.21 |
| 12.6¢ | 99.9 | $12.59 |
| 13.2¢ | 150 | $19.80 |
| 14.5¢ | 25 | $3.62 |
| 15¢ | 50 | $7.50 |
| 19.8¢ | 9.97 | $1.97 |
| 19.9¢ | 5 | $1.00 |
| 20.6¢ | 190 | $39.14 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".