All markets
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?
13%chance
- Yes13.1%
Outcomes
- Yes13%
13.1¢ per share
- No87%
86.9¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 13.1¢Spread 0.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8¢ | 235.75 | $30.18 |
| 12.7¢ | 191.06 | $24.26 |
| 12.5¢ | 30 | $3.75 |
| 12.1¢ | 30 | $3.63 |
| 6.2¢ | 5 | $0.31 |
| 4.8¢ | 83.33 | $4.00 |
| 3.9¢ | 30 | $1.17 |
| 3.8¢ | 230 | $8.74 |
| 3.7¢ | 20 | $0.74 |
| 1.2¢ | 14.42 | $0.17 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 13.4¢ | 130 | $17.42 |
| 13.5¢ | 191.06 | $25.79 |
| 13.6¢ | 200.48 | $27.27 |
| 13.8¢ | 152.38 | $21.03 |
| 13.9¢ | 30 | $4.17 |
| 14.5¢ | 30 | $4.35 |
| 14.6¢ | 5 | $0.73 |
| 15.5¢ | 220 | $34.10 |
| 15.6¢ | 1,314 | $204.98 |
| 21.2¢ | 470 | $99.64 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".